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Win rate is the share of closed sales opportunities that end as won deals. Calculate it with your own CRM numbers, see published medians by deal size, and learn how finance can use it in planning.
WIN RATE
Median win rate by deal size, 939 B2B SaaS companies:
Optifai Pipeline Study · Q2 2025–Q1 2026 data
This article will provide
Win rate is the percentage of sales opportunities closed in a period that were won. It is also called close rate or opportunity win rate.
Win rate is a sales-pipeline metric. It is normally calculated from opportunity or deal records in the CRM, such as HubSpot, Salesforce or Pipedrive, rather than from the general ledger. Finance uses it because it links pipeline to bookings: with a known win rate, a pipeline figure becomes an estimate of revenue.
The definition has one choice that changes the number more than any other: which opportunities sit in the denominator. The usual convention counts only opportunities that reached a final outcome, won or lost, in the period. Some teams instead divide by all opportunities created, including those still open, which produces a lower figure. A win rate is only comparable with another one calculated on the same basis.
Win rate = deals won ÷ (deals won + deals lost) × 100, counting deals closed during the period.
Inputs:
Deals still open at the end of the period are excluded. Some teams also calculate a value-weighted win rate: the value of deals won ÷ the value of all deals closed. It is useful for pipeline planning because coverage targets are set in dollars.
Worked example
In a quarter, a sales team closes 120 opportunities: 30 won and 90 lost.
Win rate = 30 ÷ (30 + 90) × 100 = 30 ÷ 120 × 100 = 25.0%
Deals won of deals closed: 30 won of 120 closed
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Download the 2026 SaaS Benchmark Report We’ve emailed you a copy as well.Bookings forecasts. Finance multiplies the open pipeline by the historical win rate, by stage or by segment, to estimate new bookings. A forecast that assumes a higher win rate than the company has achieved recently is one of the most common sources of a missed plan.
Pipeline targets. The win rate sets how much pipeline the team needs. At a 25% win rate, the team needs roughly four dollars of pipeline for every dollar of bookings target. See pipeline coverage ratio.
Sales efficiency. Win rate is one driver of the cost of acquiring a customer. Reps who win a larger share of the deals they work spend less time and money per customer won, which feeds into customer acquisition cost and sales efficiency.
Diagnosis. Split by segment, deal size, lead source, competitor or rep, the win rate shows where the sales process works and where it loses deals.
A good win rate depends heavily on deal size and on the denominator used. Smaller deals close at higher rates than larger ones in the published data below. Compare your figure with companies of a similar average contract value and check that the benchmark defines the denominator the same way. A stable or rising win rate over several quarters, on a consistent definition, matters more than a single comparison.
Median win rate by deal size, from Optifai's study of deal-level CRM data:
| Average contract value | 25th percentile | Median | 75th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $10K (SMB) | 28% | 31% | 35% |
| $10K–$50K (mid-market) | 20% | 24% | 28% |
| $50K–$100K (upper mid-market) | 15% | 18% | 22% |
| Over $100K (enterprise) | 12% | 15% | 18% |
The pattern is the useful part: the median win rate roughly halves between the smallest and the largest deal-size band. A company selling $100K-plus contracts should not plan against an SMB win rate.
Source: Optifai, B2B SaaS win rate by deal size (Optifai Pipeline Study), 939 B2B SaaS companies with deal-level CRM data, Q2 2025 to Q1 2026, data last updated April 20, 2026. Optifai publishes its own dataset and does not say how the win-rate denominator is defined, so check that your own definition is comparable. Checked October 26, 2026.
From won deals to revenue
ScaleXP calculates 30+ SaaS metrics from your accounting data, your CRM data or both, and syncs 20+ deal properties from HubSpot, Salesforce or Pipedrive.
Revenue forecasts combine CRM pipeline, renewals, billing and actuals.
Automate Your SaaS MetricsWin rate worked example
Deals won in the quarter
30
Opportunities closed as won in the period.
Illustrative example figures, not your live data.
Win rate comes from the won and lost outcomes in your CRM. ScaleXP adds the finance side: two-way sync between HubSpot, Salesforce or Pipedrive and Xero or QuickBooks Online: deal, invoice and payment data flow both ways, and invoice and payment status are written back to the CRM, so sales and finance have the data when they need it.
ScaleXP flags closed-won deals that have not been invoiced, or invoiced for a different amount, and reports bookings, billings and recognized revenue side by side. Revenue forecasts combine CRM pipeline, renewals, billing and actuals.
Win rate equals deals won divided by the total of deals won and deals lost in the period, multiplied by 100. Open deals are excluded. For example, 30 won and 90 lost gives 30 ÷ 120 = 25%. Some teams divide by all opportunities created instead, which gives a lower number, so state the basis whenever a win rate is reported or compared.
It depends on deal size. Optifai's analysis of 939 B2B SaaS companies, covering Q2 2025 to Q1 2026, puts the median win rate at 31% for contracts under $10K and 15% for contracts over $100K, with mid-market bands in between. Compare against the band that matches your average contract value rather than one market-wide figure.
Most finance teams include them as losses, because the sales effort was spent and no revenue resulted. Excluding them raises the win rate but makes the pipeline look more productive than it is. Whichever rule you choose, apply it consistently, record it alongside the metric, and make sure any benchmark you compare with uses a similar definition.
The win rate determines how much pipeline is needed to reach a bookings target. At a 25% win rate on value, roughly four dollars of qualified pipeline are needed for each dollar of target. If the win rate falls, the pipeline requirement rises by the same proportion, which is why finance should update coverage targets whenever the trailing win rate changes.
Win rate is measured on won and lost deals in the CRM. ScaleXP follows the won deals into the ledger through a two-way sync between HubSpot, Salesforce or Pipedrive and Xero or QuickBooks Online. It flags closed-won deals that have not been invoiced, or invoiced for a different amount, and reports bookings, billings and recognized revenue side by side, so finance can see how much of what sales wins becomes revenue.
For HubSpot, Salesforce and Pipedrive users
ScaleXP flags closed-won deals that have not been invoiced, or invoiced for a different amount, and reports bookings, billings and recognized revenue side by side. Book a demo to see how this works for a business like yours.
From won deals to revenue
Two-way sync between HubSpot, Salesforce or Pipedrive and Xero or QuickBooks Online.
A measure of growth or sales efficiency. Calculated as Revenue Growth divided by Customer Acquisition Costs.
Measures how long it takes for a company to recoup the costs of acquiring a new customer.
In a 15- or 30-minute demo, we’ll show the relevant workflows using example data and discuss how they could apply to your finance process. Complex requirements? Discuss them with us first.